Friday, November 14, 2014

The Year is 2050: Racial Demographics Shift

*Note, this is not me setting a date of when something in Prophecy will happen, this is about current trends and they could look in the Future.

I've written a bit concerning Megacities and the Control Grid being built, but I've not covered the People, and who they may be.

Thankfully, someone else wrote about this.

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National Geographic Determined What Americans Will Look Like in 2050, and It's Beautiful
By Zak Cheney-Rice  April 10, 2014

It's no secret that interracial relationships are trending upward, and in a matter of years we'll have Tindered, OKCupid-ed and otherwise sexed ourselves into one giant amalgamated mega-race.

But what will we look like? National Geographic built its 125th anniversary issue around this very question last October, calling on writer Lise Funderburg and Martin Schoeller, a renowned photographer and portrait artist, to capture the faces of our nation's multiracial future.

Here's how the "average American" will look by the year 2050:



And like this:



And this:



Wow. These are obviously not Photoshopped projections, but real people, meaning tomorrow's America lives among us now in every "Blackanese," "Filatino," "Chicanese" and "Korgentinian" you meet at the DMV, grocery store or wherever it is you hang out.

Their numbers will only grow. The U.S. Census Bureau let respondents check more than one race for the first time in 2000, and 6.8 million people did so. By 2010 that figure had increased to nearly 9 million, a spike of about 32%.

This is certainly encouraging, but there are obvious flaws with tracking racial population growth through a survey that lets people self-identify, especially since so many familial, cultural and even geographical factors influence your decision to claim one or multiple races. Complicating things further is the definition of race itself: It has no basis in biology, yet its constructions, functions and mythologies irrevocably shape the world as we know it.

So is an end approaching? Will increased racial mixing finally and permanently redefine how we imagine our racial identities? The latest figures suggest we're getting more comfortable with the idea, or perhaps that we simply give fewer shits than ever before. Either would be a step in the right direction.

The Wall Street Journal reported a few years back that 15% of new marriages in 2010 were between individuals of different races. It's unclear whether they've included same-sex unions in the count, but as currently stated, this number is more than double what it was 25 years ago. The proportion of intermarriages also varied by race, with "9% of whites, 17% of blacks, 26% of Hispanics and 28% of Asians [marrying] outside their ethnic or racial group." Interracial unions now account for 8.4% of all marriages in the U.S.



sources, larger images, here:
http://mic.com/articles/87359/national-geographic-determined-what-americans-will-look-like-in-2050-and-it-s-beautiful

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March of the Non-White Babies
Demographer William Frey explains how minorities are poised to re-map America.

TANVI MISRA @Tanvim 7:00 AM ET

Image

By 2050, there will be no racial majority in the United States. "Minorities"—or groups that are thought of as minorities now—will outnumber the white population. This isn't a small deal. It's going to be this century's baby boom, affecting everything from family structures to economic trends to, obviously, voting patterns.



The U.S. minority population has been growing rapidly and will soon supersede the white population. (Brookings Institution Press)

In his new book Diversity Explosion, Brookings Institution demographer William Frey analyzes current demographic trends and predicts how they're going to shape America's not-so-distant future. 



The share of so-called "new minorities"—Hispanics, Asians and multi-racial groups in America—is going to double. If your first guess is that this is all due to immigration, you're not entirely wrong—it's because of past immigration. What's really driving the growth now (and will continue to do so in the future) is that majority of the immigrants who are already here are at the baby-making age.

"Back in the 1950s, we had a lot of Americans across the board in their childbearing years—we had all these babies,"
Frey explains. "Now, that's really only the case for some of the newer minorities."



This is good news, demographically speaking, because as it turns out, the white population in the U.S. is aging pretty rapidly. This surge in minority births will arrive just in time to pick up the slack, Frey says. Absent any major change in immigration policy, the future of the American labor market will depend on the next generation of U.S.-born minorities.

We spoke with Frey to get a better understanding of how this new demographic reality is likely to be distributed geographically across the country. Below are excerpts from CityLab's conversation with him, illustrated by graphs and charts from his book. 

sourcs, larger images, and more here:
http://www.citylab.com/housing/2014/11/march-of-the-non-white-babies/382576/

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I know this last election in Texas will make people think that we've shifted back to the right. If you look at the data as a whole, you will see that even though the people voted right, they are still moving left.

-SpydaT3K

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